Category Archives: Weekly Outlook
Adani Hits Back Against Activist Short Sellers Hindenburg
Written on January 30, 2023 at 2:38 am, by jonywang
Indian billionaire Gautam Adani has published a 413-page rebuttal against Hindenburg, which has recently published a report covering extensive allegations, including stock manipulation and accounting fraud, about Adani’s multi-billion-dollar conglomerate. In response, Adani has accused Hindenburg Research of conducting a “calculated securities fraud”, and an attack on India. Adani is now considering legal action againstContinue Reading
Will Chinese Demand Overshadow Supply Concerns for Crude?
Written on January 26, 2023 at 3:41 am, by jonywang
A lower-than-expected build in crude oil inventories has seen the commodity trade flat as demand concerns hit the markets. On Wednesday evening, the EIA Crude Oil Inventories was released, showing a build of 522,000 barrels, putting the total inventory at 448.5 million. This is much lower than the forecasted increase of 971,000 barrels and theContinue Reading
Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains a dovish stance, Dollar dips on pessimistic economic outlook
Written on January 19, 2023 at 7:38 am, by jonywang
On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan left its ultra-easing policy unchanged, sparking heavy speculation that it could be prompting the monetary policy divergence between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve while defying market expectations it would phase out its massive stimulus program. In the face of uncertainties worldwide, the Bank of JapanContinue Reading
China’s reopening : Is the Chinese Equity Market Warming Up?
Written on January 12, 2023 at 6:32 am, by jonywang
Starting Sunday, China no longer requires quarantine for inbound travellers. No more testing requirements to board trains, planes, ferries or shuttle buses for domestic travel. While anyone wanting to enter the country will only need a 48-hour negative Covid test result. Officials estimate that the number of trips over the Chinese New Year holiday periodContinue Reading
FOMC Minutes: No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed
Written on January 5, 2023 at 6:39 am, by jonywang
On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet. Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the public of theContinue Reading
North Korea in a Year of Unprecedented Aggression
Written on January 2, 2023 at 5:15 am, by jonywang
North Korea in a Year of Unprecedented Aggression North Korea has launched a record number of missile tests in 2022, far outnumbering previous recorded years at a total of 90 missiles fired – compared to 2021’s 8 missiles. Meanwhile, North Korean leader Kim Jung Un has ordered an ‘exponential’ increase in the size of theContinue Reading
Will the Japanese Yen See a Big U-Turn in 2023?
Written on December 29, 2022 at 6:01 am, by jonywang
On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan released a summary of opinions from its December meeting. The meeting, originally held on 20 December, saw the BoJ increase its 10-year benchmark yield ceiling in a surprise move that boosted the yen over 3% by investors betting on a Hawkish turn by the BoJ. However, Wednesday’s summary revealedContinue Reading
Bank of Japan’s Surprise Bond Cap Raise
Written on December 26, 2022 at 7:26 am, by jonywang
Japan’s outgoing central bank governor Haruhiko Kuroda surprised markets with an increase of 25 basis points on the cap for the BoJ’s 10-year yields, effectively doubling the limit. The surprise has caught economists by surprise in light of the BoJ’s extreme dovishness even as the rest of the world embraces tightening. While the BoJ hasContinue Reading
Outlook on Crude Positive for Early 2023 on China Reopening and OPEC+ Cuts
Written on December 22, 2022 at 8:50 am, by jonywang
U.S. crude oil stockpiles fell much more than expected, according to the data of the American Petroleum Institute (API). The weekly report released by the organisation reported a draw of nearly 3.1 million barrels of crude oil for the week ending in December 16th. Compared to a build up of more than 7.8 million barrelsContinue Reading
U.S. Charges Sam Bankman-Fried for Fraud
Written on December 19, 2022 at 7:22 am, by jonywang
Embattled FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried has been slapped with 8 charges by federal prosecutors, including conspiracy and wire fraud. The ex-CEO was arrested in the Bahamas on Monday – the first move by the authorities to hold those involved in the FTX meltdown and the subsequent loss of billions in client funds accountable. In addition,Continue Reading